Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown
Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown
4
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
Australian citizens are currently navigating through an unprecedented economic phase, marked by the most prolonged recession per capita in the nation's history.
This downturn has extended through six consecutive quarters of declining economic output, with a total of seven declines across the last eight quarters.
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.
Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.
The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.
More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".
An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.
The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.
Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
The Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) has recently highlighted a critical issue affecting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs): the necessity of verifying a lender's membership status before securing business financing. This advisory comes in response to a significant number of complaints that AFCA is unable to address due to the lenders' non-membership status. - read more
In a recent policy proposal, the Coalition has advocated for easing lending regulations to facilitate small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in obtaining business loans without the necessity of using their homes as collateral. This initiative is part of a broader effort to support the SME sector by addressing one of the significant barriers to accessing finance. - read more
Cash flow is the lifeblood of any business, particularly for startups. It refers to the amount of cash that comes in and goes out of a business. Proper management of this flow is crucial for the success and sustainability of new enterprises. Ensuring a positive cash flow allows businesses to meet their financial obligations, invest in growth opportunities, and manage unexpected expenses. - read more
Alternative lending refers to financial services provided by non-bank institutions. These lenders offer various financing options to individuals and businesses who may find it challenging to secure loans from traditional banks. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without obligation. We
respect your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Equity Release: A way for homeowners to release cash from the value of their home, either as a lump sum or in installments, while still living in the property.
